Show notes:
TMSpotlight:
10.02.23 Speed and Curves Often Cause A "Crash"
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Steepening goes too fast. So MBS’ gonna Crash.Higher rates in the long end than the short end annoyed mortgages. Prices fell, and coupon stack decompressed, confusing everyone from borrowers to hedgers with speeds and curves.Will last week mark the death of the bears? The 4.96 barrier to the 10 yr yield looks insurmountable. Expect rates to fall as October economic data flows. Additional support comes from bottoming Gold, topping Oil, and a steepening curve. Don’t be surprised if mortgage rates drop 25 bps.The curve and rates get messed up, too With news.With newsWith News----------------------------Song: Crash (1988) The Primitiveshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1y7NGqfZteg